10 Bold Predictions For 2023
I do this every year, and every year I get at least one correct. Last year, I didn’t do that badly, even if some of them turned out to be laughable. If they aren’t laughable you weren’t bold enough.
Daniel Jones (QB11) finishes as a top-seven NFFC fantasy QB
This might not sound bold, but it is. Jones’ overall ADP is 122, while QB7 (Trevor Lawrence) is 52, i.e, that is a big leap value-wise. Jones will get you 500 yards on the ground and a few rushing TDs, but in Year 2 of Brian Daboll’s system and with upgrades in Darren Waller, Parris Campbell and Jalin Hyatt, I’d expect in the neighborhood of 25 passing TDs and 4,000 yards too.
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB12) finishes as a top-five RB
I actually like that the Patriots brought in washed-up Zeke Elliott rather than a pass-catching back like Kareem Hunt or a three-down option like Dalvin Cook. At worst Zeke will steal some touchdowns, but at best he’ll absorb the low-upside dirty work and keep Stevenson fresh to catch 70 passes. My comp for Stevenson is Le’Veon Bell — a big, slow power back with excellent balance, instincts and receiving skills.
Chris Godwin (WR 27) outproduces Keenan Allen (WR 16)
Godwin is 27, Allen 31. Godwin is faster and quicker at roughly the same size. Allen rarely makes catches down the field or in the red zone, and he has much more competition for targets. Of course, Allen has Justin Herbert throwing him the ball, while Godwin has Baker Mayfield, but Mayfield need not be great, only adequate for Godwin to finish in the top-10. Remember two years ago when Jared Goff, another former No. 1 overall who produced for awhile, was essentially thought of the way Mayfield is now?
Darren Waller is a top-2 TE
I won’t put him ahead of nearly 34-YO Travis Kelce just yet, but I will rank him ahead of Mark Andrews and T.J. Hockenson. Waller should see 150 targets and be Daniel Jones’ primary red-zone guy too. The skills are not in doubt — he just needs to stay healthy all year, but so does everyone.
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