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Beat Chris Liss 2
Beat Chris Liss 2 took place last night. I drew the 11th pick (my second choice).
Here are the results:
1.11 AJ Brown — I was hoping CeeDee Lamb or Bijan Robinson would fall, but this is more or less what I expected. I took Brown (26) narrowly over Stefon Diggs who will turn 30 in November. Once Jonathan Taylor went at 10, I also knew I’d get a second WR on the way back too.
2.2 Garrett Wilson — I would have loved Amon-Ra St. Brown, but worst case I’d get Wilson who was the last of the receivers I wanted there. I would have gone Saquon Barkley over Davante Adams who, best case, is playing with Jimmy Garoppolo, and for how long?
3.2 DK Metcalf — I like Metcalf, but it’s crowded in Seattle now, and he’s a great athlete/good player rather than great player/good athlete which is more valuable. I considered Devonta Smith (who slipped), but as I wrote in the Snarky150 “anorexia patients have a higher BMI.” I also considered Rhamondre Stevenson and even Calvin Ridley on whom I’m now sold in Jacksonville.
4.11 Kenneth Walker — I would have taken Ridley had he fallen six more picks and started four straight WRs, but I was glad Walker made it back to me. I know they drafted a back, but Pete Carroll loves running the ball, and Walker crushed the eye test for me last year — just looked like he was playing at another level of quickness.
5.2 Christian Watson — I considered Joe Mixon, but those class of 2017 backs are getting long in the tooth. This was my second double-up pick as I have Watson (and Metcalf) in BCL1.
6.11 Darren Waller — Once D’Andre Swift went at the turn, I knew I was taking Waller or Kyle Pitts if either one made it back. If Waller’s healthy, he should have a huge year as the Giants No. 1 receiver.
7.2 Miles Sanders — I still needed a second back, and Sanders is one. Honestly, he wasn’t that much on my radar until Alan Seslowsky started touting him in one of our videos, and I figured seventh round was late enough for a “blame _____” pick. I can see the case for Sanders, who got paid, and is apparently viewed as a three-down back by his new coach.
8.11 A.J. Dillon — I missed Elijah Moore by three picks, but RB was still the position of greater need. Dillon is useful in a timeshare, not a total dud as a pass catcher and has big-time upside should anything happen to an aging Aaron Jones.
9.2 Jameson Williams — I was happy to bet on Williams who is a worthy gamble at this spot. He was the No. 12 overall pick last year, and beyond St. Brown, the Lions don’t have any established pass catchers. Having invested so heavily in receivers, I should be able to wait on Brown to serve out his gambling suspension too.
10.11 Devon Achane — I was happy to get Achane (my third double up for BCL1), but it turned out the Williams pick came at a cost. Team 2 reached for Danny Dimes (ADP129) at pick 107. (My reaction to that comes at the 40 minute mark in the livestream.) In fairness if he doesn’t draft him there or at 110, I’m taking him at 119, so it wasn’t really a reach, as Jones wasn’t making it back. But it pissed me off as not only am I a Giants fan, but I had Jones at 98 on my Snarky150. But that’s the peril of relying too much on ADP (though I had Williams at 86.)
I like Achane who isn’t competing with much in Miami and who could be a kind of poor man’s Jahmyr Gibbs. I also wanted to get Achane because I took Zay Flowers narrowly over him in my Dynasty League, even though my instinct was to take Achane, and then while I was drafting a post about how outliers are the signal, not the noise, Mark Stopa argued Achane would have to be a “historic outlier” to succeed at that size. Any time a coincidence like that happens, I take note.
11.2 Zay Flowers — Just to come full circle, I took Flowers (who I talked myself into) on the way back. This meant playing chicken on quarterback for yet another two rounds, but once Jones was gone, I was okay with a few of them.
12.11 Anthony Richardson — This was a nice consolation prize. In a 12-team, 1-QB league, give me the highest ceiling every time.
13.2 Kirk Cousins — I’m a little worried about him absorbing so many hits last year, but he’s a rock, and the perfect complement to the Richardson pick. It’s possible I should have taken Aaron Rodgers (to pair with Wilson) instead, but I have Rodgers in BCL1, and Cousins ranked a lot higher.
14.11 Ravens Kicker — I didn’t think they’d let me have the GOAT, but they did, so I took him.
15.2 Jeff Wilson —My fourth double-up pick. Wilson is usually good when healthy, Raheem Mostert can never stay healthy, and I like pairing him with Achane.
16.11 Irv Smith — I needed a second tight end, and I like Smith, a former second-round pick who seemed on the verge of a breakout before getting hurt two years ago. Plus, I like the set-up in Cincinnati.
17.2 Clyde Edwards-Helaire — He’s been a bust for the Chiefs, but they didn’t bring in anyone new, he’s healthy, and his competition in KC isn’t that good.
18.11 Broncos Defense — They get the Raiders Week 1 and having a credible offense would be a big help to them.
19.2 Trey Lance — Brock Purdy is a seventh-round pick coming off off-season UCL surgery, Lance is the guy they took at pick three after trading up two years ago. I think there’s a decent chance Lance gets a shot, if not initially, then before long. Still has top-five QB upside.
20.11 Giants Defense — My fifth double-up pick. They’re a young, blitzing defense attached to an improving offense, and they get the Cardinals in Week 2.
Roster By Position
QB Kirk Cousins
RB Kenneth Walker/Miles Sanders
WR AJ Brown/Garrett Wilson/DK Metcalf
TE Darren Waller
FLEX Christian Watson
K Justin Tucker
Bench AJ Dillon/Jameson Williams/Devon Achane/Zay Flowers/Anthony Richardson/Jeff Wilson/Irv Smith/Clyde Edwards-Helaire/Giants Defense