Beat Chris Liss 2

BCL2 took place today. I drew the third pick.

Here are the results:

1.3 Ja’Marr Chase — I didn’t want Christian McCalfinjury, of whom I already have a share, so I was set on CeeDee Lamb or Tyreek Hill if they were there. But I had an inkling they might go 1-2 in which case Ja’Marr Chase was narrowly my fallback over Amon Ra St. Brown and Breece Hall. Chase has St. Brown’s target upside, but with a much bigger vertical game. The biggest negative for him is Burrow’s health, but Burrow’s fine now, and anyone can get hurt. I also thought maybe I’d draft Tee Higgins if he fell to me in Round 5 (which was unlikely) in which case I’d try to get Burrow too.

2.10 Jaylen Waddle — It was Waddle the solid, boring pick or Malik Nabers the fun, exciting one. Team 4 did me a favor and took De’Von Achane out of the equation — I have Achane in BCL1, and while I love his upside, he’s not the kind of player to which you tie all your teams. I narrowly went Waddle who actually has upside too if Tyreek Hill ever got hurt.

3.10 Malik Nabers — I couldn’t believe it, but Nabers made it all the way back despite third-round reversal. I love Nabers, but I think the market is over-drafting him slightly relative to his projected target share. I mean he might get 150, but I think 130-140 Daniel Jones targets is more likely, and that’s a third, not a second-round pick.

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