Circa Millions

Week 14

Like another writer of my caliber who thought the end was nigh, I got a last-second reprieve. I mistakenly thought last week was the start of Q4, but it turns out it’s this week. That means the 2-3 is wiped off my record, and I’m still alive!

Now it’s important one does not squander such a rare second chance. The worst thing one could do in such a situation would be to pick recklessly, for example, like taking the Jets. That would be a serious mistake, like picking pockets of the people watching the public hangings of pickpockets. Only a fool, or a real man, would do that.

Jets +5.5 at Dolphins — This is almost certainly a mistake. There’s something wrong with the Jets, and the Dolphins are a solid team playing at home. I just had a buy-low feeling on the Jets, and the Massey-Peabody numbers had the two teams as near equals. Not that you should ever consult numbers like that unless it’s to confirm your priors. I’m already regretting this pick. You should probably take the Dolphins. Seriously.

Vikings -5.5 vs Falcons — The Vikings seems overrated, but the Falcons are just flat. Maybe it’s Kirk Cousins’ lack of arm strength, I don’t know. But I’m laying the wood and feel okay about it.

Titans -3.5 vs Jaguars — The Titans play a little defense, and Will Levis can sling it down the field. That’s enough for me against the Mac Jones Jaguars.

Buccaneers -7 vs Raiders — This line seems a bit light given what a doormat the Raiders are. It’s also an early body-clock game on the east coast for them.

Cardinals -3 vs Seahawks — The Seahawks have played better of late, but the Cardinals are the buy-low, and I think they’ll win this game to pull even in the division.