Guessing The Lines

Week 16

I went 2-3 last week, am drawing dead in the Circa Millions and have run my record down to .500 at 37-37-1. Best case, I can salvage a respectable record, but that $1000 is gone for good.

Broncos at Chargers — I feel a buy-low on the Chargers here after a couple losses. Let’s say Broncos +4, and I’m laying the wood.

Texans at Chiefs — Obviously this one depends on whether Patrick Mahomes plays. He practiced in full, so assuming he plays, I’d say Texans plus 6.5 and lean KC.

Steelers at Ravens — The Steelers won the first matchup, but the Ravens are far better. I’d say Steelers plus 6.5 and take the Ravens.

Giants at Falcons — The Falcons are whipping out 12-inch, and he probably won’t be worse than Cousins. I’ll say Giants plus 7.5 and stay away.

Lions at Bears — A get well game for the Lions, and I think they bounce back a bit. Let’s make it Lions -5.5 and stay away.

Browns at Bengals — Jameis Winston is benched, and I don’t know that Dorian Thompson-Robinson has shown anything to get excited about. I’ll make it Browns +10 and lay the wood.

Titans at Colts — The Titans are giving up by switching to veteran Mason Rudolph, even if it’s better in the short term. I’ll say Titans +7 and probably stay away.

Rams at Jets — The Jets offense has come to life of late, but the defense has been poor. I’ll say Rams -2.5 and stay away.

Eagles at Killer Redskins — The Eagles are rolling, and the KRs are treading water. I’ll make it Eagles -3 and stay away.

Cardinals at Panthers — The Cardinals are average, the Panthers below average but tend to show up. I’ll say Cardinals -3 and stay away.

Vikings at Seahawks — Assuming Geno Smith plays, I’ll make it Vikings -2.5 and probably stay away, though if anything I’d lay the wood.

Patriots at Bills — This is a trap game off the Bills big win. I’ll say Patriots +15.5 and stay away.

Jaguars at Raiders — This is a bum fight. I’ll make it a pick ‘em and steer clear.

49ers at Dolphins — Both teams are done after last week. I’ll say 49ers +2.5 and lean 49ers.

Buccaneers at Cowboys — The Bucs are playing well, but so are the Cowboys. I’ll say Buccaneers -2.5 and stay away.

Saints at Packers — With Derek Carr likely done, I’ll make it Saints +10.5 and lay the wood.