Guessing The Lines
I went 2-3 again last week to push the season record to 5-10, nearly drawing dead in the Circa Millions (though you can still win relatively big prizes for winning four-week stretches.)
I didn’t look at the lines yet, only my feel about the teams through three weeks.
Cowboys at Giants — seems like a get well game for Dallas. Probably win by 7-10, won’t be favored by nearly that much. Only chance for the Giants is to get those rushers after Prescott, but more likely the Dallas rush will crush a skittish Danny Dimes.
Saints at Falcons — I like the Falcons at -2.5 or better. Last week’s game was annoying though.
Bengals at Panthers — Get well game for Cincy. Good sell high on Panthers, but Dalton is not bad, and the Bengals defense is. Probably staying away.
Rams at Bears — Two shit teams. Probably Bears -2.5. Stay away. If anything leaning Rams.
Vikings at Packers — If Jordan Love is playing, Packers -2.5. Have to treat the Vikings as a serious contender now.
Jaguars at Texans — Jaguars are broken probably getting seven. Texans looked bad last week too. Both teams desperate in their own ways. Stay away.
Steelers at Colts — Anthony Richardson looks off, and this is not the get-well opponent. Steelers -3, stay away. If anything taking the ugly Colts.
Broncos at Jets — Jets by 7.5, think last week’s Broncos win was a fluke.
Eagles at Buccaneers — I’ll say pick ‘em. Leaning Bucs as buy-low.
Team at Cardinals — Jayden Daniels looked great, but I’m taking Cardinals up to 5.5
Patriots at 49ers — Probably 49ers -13 for me, real line maybe 10? Can’t play hide the QB forever, and this would be a tough assignment if Drake Maye plays.
Chiefs at Chargers — Depends on Herbert’s status. Can’t say. Chiefs are unwatchable with the dink, dunk and penalties in their favor.
Browns at Raiders — Two teams desperate to bounce back. I instinctively like the Raiders here, but feels like the Browns are the sharper side for some nagging reason.
Bills at Ravens — Imagine this line will be 2.5 or so. I’ll probably go with the Ravens who need it much more.
Titans at Dolphins — Two bad teams, no idea who will play QB for the Dolphins. Pass.
Seahawks at Lions — Imagine this line will be about 3.5. Probably lay the wood if I had to, but would be my fifth out of five if I use it.