I went 2-3 last week, but that’s okay. It was a “practice” week ahead of Q5 where like everyone else in the Circa contest I get a fresh start.
Bears at Lions — The Lions are like a runaway freight train, but they have some injuries and have to play on a short week against a division rival. I’ll say Bears +8.5 and probably stay away.
Giants at Cowboys — The Cowboys looked a lot better last week than the Giants, but this is a winnable one for NY. I’ll say Giants +3.5 and expect them to cover. (I probably won’t use it though in the contest.)
Dolphins at Packers — The Dolphins have been better of late. I’ll say it’s Dolphins +2.5 and take them. (Though I probably won’t use Thursday games in the contest.)
Raiders at Chiefs — The Raiders are playing out the string now, but the Chiefs always seem to play down to the level of their competition. I’ll say Raiders +10 and lean Raiders.
Chargers at Falcons — I’ll make this a pick ‘em in Atlanta and maybe lean Falcons who are off the bye.
Steelers at Bengals — I’ll say Steelers plus 2.5 and take the Bengals at home off the bye.
Texans at Jaguars — Whether Trevor Lawrence starts actually makes a difference here. I’ll say it’s Texans -3.5 but stay away.
Cardinals at Vikings — The Cardinals were such a no-show last week. I’ll say Cardinals +3 and buy low on them.
Colts at Patriots — These are both scrappy teams. I’ll say pick ‘em and lean Colts.
Seahawks at Jets — Is Aaron Rodgers still the QB? I’ll say Seahawks -2.5 and lean Jets, but this is a stay-away.
Titans at Killer Redskins — The Titans defense is decent, and the team is playing better of late. I’ll make it Titans +5.5 and stay away.
Buccaneers at Panthers — The Panthers have played better of late. Let’s go Buccaneers -3.5 and stay away.
Rams at Saints — I’d make this Rams -2.5 and probably lean Rams.
Eagles at Ravens — This is a good game. Make it Eagles +3.5 and take the Ravens who play well against good teams.
49ers at Bills — This was supposed to be a good game, but the Niners need Nick Bosa, Brock Purdy and Trent Williams back. Assuming they are, I’ll say Niners +4.5 and take them. If not, stay away.
Browns at Broncos — I’ll sell the Browns off the Steelers win. Bad Jameis shows up in Denver. Browns +5.5 and take the Broncos.
Bengals will get you again.