Surviving Week 10

The Saints were a bit of a sweat, and the Browns sailed easily, which means most of your pool from last week is still alive. I would have switched to the Browns once Clayton Tune was starting, but I had used them, so I was on the Saints.

Let’s take a look at this week’s ownership:

The Cowboys are at 46 percent, but they’re the easy call if you have them. The disparity between them and everyone else is so wide, it would have to be a good deal higher than that to use them. How much higher? We can actually do the math just for fun.

The Cowboys are -1000 (average of the moneylines) which is about 91 percent (1000/1100) to win. The next closest team is the Bills at around -350 (78%) when you average the lines. That means the Cowboys have a nine percent chance to lose, and the Bills 22, per the market. Twenty-two divided by nine is 2.44. That’s your risk ratio.

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