Week 10 Observations

Lucky

Yesterday was a mixed bag fantasy wise, but I’m feeling a bit lucky of late generally, and nothing happened to disabuse me of that. I started Aaron Rodgers in the Primetime which was a disaster, but it was over C.J. Stroud who was only a little better. Watching the Texans-Lions this morning validated all the reasons I sat Stroud, so I didn’t feel that badly about it.

The Circa Millions picks really broke my way — the Steelers came back late, as did the Bucs who lost in exactly the right way. The Chargers and Broncos were good most of the way, but it’s those 50/50 games that have to work out. I lost on the Bears which was just a stupid pick. That puts me at 8-2 over the first half of Q3 — I figure if I go 9-1 or 10-0 over the second half, that gets me a piece of the $300K prize.

• I went on a hike, so I missed most of the Giants game, and that’s just as well. What I did see was bad Danny Dimes and then the Tyrone Tracy fumble in overtime. Tracy is actually doing God’s work getting them that No. 1 overall pick though.

• The Panthers drafted Jonathon Brooks, extended Chuba Hubbard, who is decent, and they gave a four-year deal to Miles Sanders last year! I remember when the Gettlechad paid big bucks to Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams!

• There was a shot of Bryce Young watching Daniel Jones work, and I imagined Young shuddering to think that’s the path down which he’s going — if he’s lucky.

• I let Seslowsky talk me into the Bears in Survivor, that NLM. Honestly, I didn’t object so it’s my own fault even though the Chargers were the obvious pick.

• The Patriots destroyed the Bears in every way, and Caleb Williams looked a lot like Danny Dimes. Just get rid of the damn ball!

• Joe Flacco was a nice story, but you have to play Anthony Richardson now. I picked up Richardson in two more leagues so I now have him in four. He’s still a long shot to be good, but if he’s even decent, he’ll be a monster for fantasy. If I were the Colts I’d tailor the offense to him, call tons of designed runs, roll-outs, etc. I’m sure he’d just get hurt though.

• Dalton Kincaid got hurt, but he’s just such a bust in every way. He’s basically just a generic TE you could grab off waivers. I had him ranked as my TE3.

• So crazy the Broncos got the game-winning FG blocked. This Chiefs team will go undeafeated and win the Super Bowl like the 1973 Dolphins, but no one will consider them a top-10 all-time team.

• Courtland Sutton is suddenly a top receiver again. He had disappeared entirely in Week 7.

• I have the league’s only Younghoe in three leagues, so his missing three field goals really hurt.

• Drake London was banged up, but he produces every game.

• I started Mason Tipton in the Primetime — what the hell happened to him?

• The Alvin Kamara easy-long TD drop was crazy. I thought for sure Atlanta would win the game after that.

• Christian McCaffrey was all the way back — he got most of the carries and seven targets.

• Bucky Irving is the Bucs best back, but Rachaad White is a good receiver and made an insane fourth-down conversion on a scramble play from Baker Mayfield.

• Jaylen Warren is finally back to last year’s role.

• The Steelers really held Jayden Daniels in check and would have an easier time of it but for a botched fake punt deep in their own end early in the game. I was only half watching, so I’m not exactly sure what happened there.

• You can take Sam Darnold off the Jets, but you can’t take the Jets off Sam Darnold. Seriously, the tick where he throws an end zone pick every time down is leftover from his time with them.

• Say what you want about the Jaguars, but they were able to take away Justin Jefferson.

• The Titans defense isn’t bad, though the broadcast kept harping on their strong per-game statistics. It’s easier to have good per-game defensive statistics when your offense is awful, and teams can play conservatively against you.

• Gus Edwards returned and looked good. He split carries fairly evenly with J.K. Dobbins who doesn’t look explosive of late.

• I can’t believe Calvin Ridley is good again. I guess I wrote him off after last year not realizing how terrible the Jaguars offense was.

• Cooper Rush was abominable, made Danny Dimes look like Joe Montana.

• CeeDee Lamb had 10 targets for 21 yards.

• Saquon Barkley’s having a great year, but you have to be at least a little annoyed about Jalen Hurts vulturing 10 TDs already.

• The Cardinals are in sync, and Kyle Murray has been very good the last month.

• Aaron Rodgers doesn’t look terrible physically to me, but there’s obviously something way off.

• The Lions are so good they won on the road against a 6-3 team despite Jared Goff throwing five picks. One was bad luck and another was at the end of the half, but still the hit to his stats could cost him the MVP.

• Stroud played better, but the offensive line is still bad (and this was the Lions without their new edge rusher Za’Darius Smith.) The Texans are committed to playing slowly and running Joe Mixon into the teeth of the defense 50 times too.

• I’m probably jinxing this by posting it, but I’ve been on a nice roll generally these last couple weeks, and I have Jonnu Smith starting everywhere tonight. I’m not saying I did some deep (or any) analysis of the matchup, only that I have a feeling he’ll go off. Not investment advice, just posting this as an experiment.