I went 2-3 last week, and it wasn’t a strong 2-3. I took a bad beat with the Bengals +2.5, but barely won the Cowboys and Jaguars, while getting on the wrong side of two blowouts (Browns and Raiders.) The Browns was funny because it was so contrarian it had to be the sharp play. And I’m sure it was, only the sharps can be idiots.
Let’s take a look at this week’s games:
49ers at Seahawks — Both teams suffered soul-crushing losses. The Seahawks can’t pass protect. I’ll say Niners -2.5 and probably take them.
Jaguars vs Bears (London) — I’ll make this a pick ‘em, sell high on the Bears if I use it.
Indigenous Peoples at Ravens — I’ll make this 3.5, probably take the Ravens. The Indigenous Peoples have been killing me, but now they finally play a real team.
Cardinals at Packers — I’ll say 6.5. Probably stay away, but lean Packers.
Texans at Patriots — Drake Maye’s first start. The Texans run too much and their pace is too slow. I’ll say Texans -8.5. Probably stay away.
Buccaneers at Saints — No Derek Carr. I’ll say Bucs minus 3.5. Stay away.
Browns at Eagles — The Deshaun Watson situation has hit rock bottom, no way to massage this. The Browns need a full release from his services. I’ll say Browns +10.5, and there’s a chance Jameis Winston plays if things go south early. Stay away.
Colts at Titans — I’ll make this Colts -2.5 and probably stay away.
Chargers at Broncos — I like the Chargers as a buy-low here. I’ll say Chargers +2.5, but I’d like to see whether their offensive linemen are playing.
Steelers at Raiders — Possible get well game for the Steelers, say -2.5. Probably a good time to buy low on the Raiders though — or are they in Browns territory now?
Falcons at Panthers — I’ll say Falcons -4.5. I’ll probably lay the wood too.
Lions at Cowboys — I’ll make this Lions -1.5 and probably take them too.
Bengals at Giants — I’ll say Bengals -2.5. They’re coming off an inexcusable loss. I’ll probably stay away, but if I weren’t a Giants fan I’d lay the wood.
Bills at Jets — I’ll make this a pick ‘em. Leaning Jets, but probably stay away.